The Triple Lock is unaffordable long termTony Blair,Former Labour Prime Minister
Not just unaffordable, but actually immoralJeremy Hunt,Former Conservative Chancellor
Not defensibleMichael Gove,Former Conservative cabinet minister
Mathematically unsustainable, politically untouchable and profoundly unfairRichard Walker,Cost of living tsar and CEO of Iceland supermarket chain
UnaffordableAndy Haldane,Former Bank of England chief economist
Keeping the Triple Lock is just bonkersJim O'Neill,Former Treasury minister
Prohibitively expensivePaul Johnson,Former director of the IFS think tank
Unusually generousOECD,Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
National Fiscal Emergency

Britain is being bankrupted — by a promise we can't afford.

The Triple Lock on pensions costs taxpayers £230 MILLION every week. £12 billion a year. £15.5 billion a year by 2030. It's three times more expensive than promised. And nobody is stopping it.

● Watch the campaign film2 min

WE SPEND £230 MILLION A WEEK ON THE TRIPLE LOCK 

THERE ARE BETTER WAYS TO USE THIS MONEY →
● The Scale

The numbers are staggering.

In 2010, the Government promised to raise the state pension every year, no matter what. The Triple Lock has been a total failure — three times more expensive than projected, and pensioner poverty is rising.

▼ Tap a number to dig into the data

That is roughly what the taxpayer hands over every year above what pensions would cost if they simply rose with average earnings.

The cost compounds every year. Without reform, the bill nearly quadruples in a generation.

By 2075, the Triple Lock alone will swallow roughly 9% of GDP. There is no version of the British economy where that is affordable.

9%
of UK GDP
over budget
30%
pension rise in 4yrs
→ Our Manifesto

STOP THE TRIPLE LOCK.  SAVE BRITAIN'S FUTURE.

Britain is losing its young people. 136,000 Britons left last year — more than half of them aged 16 to 34 — chasing wages, growth and a future they no longer believe exists here. That is what happens when governments duck every hard decision.

The Triple Lock is the clearest example. Invented in 2010 to win votes, never designed to last, it now costs around £12 billion a year more than an earnings link — paid for out of the pockets of people working today. It hasn't even fixed pensioner poverty.

We believe in Britain. We can grow the economy, make it fun to be young again, and build a pension that is fair, affordable and leaves no pensioner in poverty. But it starts with one thing: stopping the Triple Lock.

Our Manifesto

There's only so many leaving drinks you can go to before it starts to feel like something is horribly wrong. Year by year, our friends and family are leaving Britain in droves — for Australia, America, Switzerland, the UAE — places where young people believe they can not only survive, but thrive. Places where wages go further, and where the economy is growing, not shrinking.

We are far from alone in this. Britain is experiencing a brain drain of mammoth proportions: 136,000 Britons left last year, more than half of them aged between 16 and 34, most bound for the US and Australia. And, according to the Migration Observatory, fewer Britons are returning than ever before. These are often smart, hard-working people — doctors, engineers, AI researchers — who could be building the Britain of tomorrow. Instead, our loss is the gain of other nations.

To many young people, Britain is a sinking ship, and they are looking for the nearest lifeboat. Much of that is down to successive governments — of whatever colour — that have seemed unable to make the tough calls: on building houses, railways, nuclear power stations; on fixing health and social care; on growing the economy so there's more for everyone. We have a government addicted to putting off hard decisions and hoping someone else picks up the tab.

There is no better example of this than the Triple Lock.

The Triple Lock was cooked up by the coalition government in 2010: a guarantee that the state pension rises every year by whichever is highest of inflation, wage growth, or 2.5%. It wasn't backed by serious research. It was never meant to be permanent. It was designed to win over the largest and most engaged voting bloc in British politics: pensioners. It's true that, at the time, the state pension was too low, but the Triple Lock was a flawed solution — and it's only got more disastrous over time.

Since its introduction in 2011, the cost of the Triple Lock has ballooned — driven in large part by the inflation spikes of the pandemic and the war in Ukraine — to around three times more than originally expected. It costs roughly £12 billion a year above what a simple earnings link would cost, and will rise to an estimated £15.5 billion by 2030. As the population ages, meaning a rising number of pensioners and a falling number of taxpayers, that burden only grows.

This is money coming straight out of the pockets of people working today. There is no pension pot with your name on it waiting to be topped up — nobody has “earned” the Triple Lock. In fact, someone retiring in their sixties today will get back around 30% more from the state than they paid in. And worst of all, it hasn't even solved pensioner poverty: the number of pensioners in poverty has risen since the Triple Lock was introduced, according to the Resolution Foundation. That's because while the Triple Lock has increased the wealth of pensioners in general, those who need targeted help the most aren't getting it.

It's little wonder that Lord Richard Walker, chairman of Iceland and the government's cost of living tsar, has called the Triple Lock “mathematically unsustainable” and “profoundly unfair.” He's far from alone. Tony Blair, Jeremy Hunt and Michael Gove have all questioned its affordability, as have the Institute for Fiscal Studies, the Office for Budget Responsibility, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development and the International Monetary Fund.

So why won't the government scrap it? Because they're scared — scared pensioners will turn on them, scared the media will pile in, scared that young people simply don't care. So we trundle on toward financial strain, and more of our brightest keep leaving.

Will the last one to leave Britain remember to turn out the light?

It doesn't have to be like this.

We believe Britain can be saved, because we believe in Britain. This is the country that kickstarted the Industrial Revolution, discovered evolution and antibiotics, invented football, and produced legendary artists from Shakespeare, to Bowie to Charli XCX. With enough will and smart decision-making, we can grow the economy. We can build a country where it's fun to be young again. We can create a pension that is fair and affordable — and ensures that no pensioner lives in poverty.

But that starts with one thing: stopping the Triple Lock.

That's why we need to show the government that people care about this issue. We need to bring everyone who's already against this policy under one tent, and spread the message to the public that the Triple Lock is putting their own finances at risk — across all generations. We don't have much time. An election is looming, and we need every party to understand the country won't accept more of the same.

That's why we're asking you to join us — whether you're an MP or you'd never heard of the Triple Lock until today.

In 1974, the future Prime Minister James Callaghan said: “Sometimes when I go to bed at night, I think that if I were a younger man I would emigrate. But when I wake up in the morning, I ask myself whether there is any place else I would prefer to go.” We want to build a Britain where every young person believes their future is bright; a country where people want to stay — where our friends and family come home, and where we all get to retire together.

Will you join us?

● The Problem

What is the Triple Lock?

01 — The Rule

The Triple Lock means the state pension must rise every year by the highest of three numbers:

2.5%
minimum
Wages
average earnings
Inflation
CPI rate
02 — Who Gets It

The state pension is a weekly payment from the government to people who have reached state pension age — currently 66.

What pensioners receive depends on their National Insurance (NI) record — the tax contributions made during working life, usually taken from wages. They need at least ten years of contributions to get the minimum payment, and 35 years to get the full amount, which is currently £241.30 a week. Anyone in between gets a portion of it.

03 — Who Gets It

Crucially, it is not means-tested: a retired millionaire with a full NI record gets the same £241.30 a week as a pensioner with nothing else.

Two-thirds of British retirees also have a private pension, meaning they do not rely solely on the state pension. It is meant to be a safety net — not a primary source of income.

04 — Who Pays For It

You do. The Triple Lock is paid for by taxation today — there's no pension pot set aside for each pensioner when they retire.

Every penny pensioners receive comes from the taxes of current workers. This means that, as the pension bill rises, so does the burden on the next generation.

05 — The Problem

However, due to the Triple Lock guarantee, the cost of this safety net is growing at an alarming rate.

It doesn't matter if the economy is flat or wages are frozen — the pension goes up by the biggest number, every single year. It never goes down.

And when inflation spikes, as it has in recent years due to major world events like the Covid pandemic and the war in Ukraine, state pension spending escalates.

06 — The Result

This means the cost of the state pension is now rising more quickly than wages.

Since 2011, average wages in Britain are up 66%. The state pension is up 89%.

The Triple Lock bill has tripled since it was introduced.

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Myth-busting

Don't fall for the myths.

The Triple Lock is defended with emotional claims that don't stand up to the facts. Here is what the data actually says. Your taxes are funding today's state pension — not your own future pension pot. You deserve a say in how that money is best spent.

Myth 1

Pensioners are barely getting by as it is

Fact

Pensioners are now less likely to be in poverty than any other age group. In fact, there are twice as many children in poverty as pensioners. However, this is nothing to do with the Triple Lock. but the introduction of Pension Credit in 2003. Since the Triple Lock was introduced in 2012, the number of pensioners in poverty has started to rise again. This is a policy that isn't working for anyone.

Myth 2

The state pension is pitiful vs European neighbours

Fact

Neighbours like Germany use earnings-related systems; citizens pay significantly higher taxes for higher payouts. A European-style pension requires European-style tax levels.

Myth 3

You try living on £241.30 a week

Fact

Two-thirds of pensioners have private pensions and auto-enrolment means 90% of eligible Britons will soon have them. Pensioner poverty should be addressed through targeted government support.

Myth 4

I paid taxes all my life - I deserve my state pension

Fact

The state pension is not linked to contributions. The average 60-year-old paid £134k in NI but will get £222k back - 30% more than their contribution. We are not proposing cutting the state pension - only slowing the rate of future rises. 

● The Alternative

There is a better way.

The Resolution Foundation — one of Britain's most respected independent economic think tanks — recommends replacing the Triple Lock with a smoothed earnings link. Here's how it works:

1

Set a target

The state pension is pegged to a fixed share of what the average worker earns. The Pension Commission recommends that it should be 30% of the median wage — almost exactly what the ratio is right now.

2

Track earnings

In normal years the pension rises with wages — this means pensioners share in the prosperity of economic growth.

3

Protect against inflation

When prices spike faster than wages, the pension rises with inflation instead — but, crucially, then smoothly returns to the target.

▲ WHY THE RESOLUTION FOUNDATION PREFERS IT TO THE TRIPLE LOCK

  • Ends the Triple Lock's volatile cost spikes — no more surprises
  • Pensioners still keep up with living standards over the long run
  • Makes the public finances genuinely predictable for the first time in 15 years

Predictable. Fair. Affordable.

Act Now

POLITICIANS THINK PEOPLE DON'T CARE.

Let's show them we do.

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